How DublFirst works

From two stock ideas to a clearer investment decision

Compare two stocks, save the companies you want to revisit in My Companies, then put your own assumptions to work in Dubl Lab.

The comparison process

1. Choose two companies
Start with a holding and a new idea, or any two supported companies. You do not need to research them first.
2. See which has the edge
See each score and base doubling estimate, then compare all six categories. Open the full analysis for the inputs, sources and what would need to go better or worse.
3. Make it yours
With Advanced, adjust assumptions and see the score and doubling estimate respond. Alpha adds control over category weights, changing the score while preserving the financial path. Save notes explaining your view.
4. Compare your personalized scenarios
Save a company to My Companies, then save an exact personal scenario in Dubl Lab. Match up two of your personalized scenarios, or compare your view with a connected friend’s shared scenario—for the same company or different companies.
5. Revisit when the opportunity changes
Return after results, a price move or a change in your outlook. Check the displayed dates and available research before saving an updated view. Earlier versions stay intact.

Compare opportunities, not just companies

A good company is not automatically the better investment opportunity. One business may have stronger growth but a more demanding valuation. Another may appear inexpensive because its risks are increasing. DublFirst brings those differences into one comparison.

Bring disconnected research together

Company research is often spread across financial statements, valuation measures, price histories, industry information, forecasts, filings, news, and personal notes. DublFirst organizes multiple perspectives within a common structure and asks the same questions of both companies.

Ask the same questions of both companies

Comparisons become unreliable when one company is judged mainly by its growth story and another by a valuation ratio. DublFirst applies the same six-category framework to each company, keeps every company score independent of its opponent, and leaves missing or limited evidence visible instead of silently changing the method.

Understand why one company may lead

What supports each company’s case
What may already be reflected in its price
What could accelerate or delay its path
Which risks and opposing evidence could weaken the thesis
Where the evidence is strong, incomplete, or stale
What new information could change the comparison

Read the score and timeline together

The score summarizes the company under the stated method. The doubling estimate follows its modeled price path. A higher score does not always mean an earlier double, and neither is a probability.

How the calculations connect

Revenue growth, operating margins, reinvestment, cash, debt, dilution and valuation assumptions feed the price path. The full analysis shows category weights and contributions. Changing a personal assumption can affect several categories; changing a note does not affect any score.

The faster and slower cases show what different outcomes would require. Doubling is checked at annual points through year seven, so a displayed year is not an exact date. Comparisons may have no clear overall leader when reasonable assumptions or weighting choices change the result.

Earlier saved Foundation Scores retain their original method. The revised preview score uses a different method and should not be treated as directly interchangeable with those older scores.

How DublFirst makes estimates

DublFirst projects the business first, then estimates what each share could be worth. Each company’s forecast details show the sources, dates and assumptions used.

Start with reported financial results. Use applicable company guidance, then compatible analyst estimates where available; identify historical-based assumptions separately. Match fiscal periods and accounting definitions before combining figures.
Model the years beyond those sources using explicit assumptions for revenue growth, margins, investment, cash, debt and share count. A quarterly outlook covers that quarter; later periods remain estimates. Growth may taper over time, with the actual rates shown in the company analysis.
Apply the stated valuation assumptions to projected earnings or operating results. Account for debt, cash and dilution as required by the company’s method. The valuation multiple is an assumption you can inspect, not a promised future market price.
Compare faster, base and slower paths. Check when the modeled share price reaches twice the displayed starting price, at annual checkpoints through year seven. A path may not reach that threshold.

Your sliders change the modeled assumptions. Category weights change the score; notes explain your reasoning. These estimates are conditional scenarios, not probabilities or guarantees.

Build your knowledge as you use it

Newer investors can begin with guided findings and clear explanations. As their knowledge grows, they can inspect lower-level evidence, sources, assumptions, and saved research. Advanced and Alpha users can also test their own assumptions in saved scenarios while the verified System score remains distinct and unchanged.

What the current preview checks

Check available research compares your saved view with reviewed data already loaded here. It does not fetch fresh market data. When a complete comparable annual period is available, the review can compare saved revenue-growth and adjusted-margin assumptions with reported results. Broader tracking and automatic alerts are not yet available in this preview.

What DublFirst does—and does not do

DublFirst helps organize research, compare companies consistently, examine evidence and assumptions, identify uncertainty, and decide where further research may be valuable.

It does not guarantee that either company will double, predict an exact future price, determine whether a security is suitable for a user, prescribe portfolio allocation, or provide personalized investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice.

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